[Market Review and Fundamental List]

The US dollar index failed to rise on the upper line yesterday, and the small Yinxian line fell to the 94.55 line. Yesterday, the US dollar continued to bottom out in the Asian session. After the opening of the MA60 for 1 hour, the company launched a continuous upswing. First, it won the 94.80 line, followed by an hour of cycling, and then oscillated to challenge the 95.00 mark, but the bulls did not. After the formation of the joint force, after attacking the 94.95 line, the pressure was suppressed by the platform for 1 hour, and then the bulls were unable to attack. They all replenished and suppressed the weak retracement. After the European session, the US dollar only went down to the 94.70 line and failed to stabilize. The hourly line broke through the MA20 and fell again. The short-term loss of 95.60 first-line support showed that the bullish bargaining intention was weak. In the evening, the US dollar accelerated in 1 hour. After the first flight to 94.45, it stabilized and entered a weak consolidation. The bulls rebounded weakly. There is downside space, and today is dominated by high-altitude ideas.

The US National Reserve Index of Chicago in July was 0.27, expected to be 0.2, and the previous value of 0.16 was revised to 0.05.

Deutsche Bank: The Fed hopes to raise market expectations for a rate hike in order to win more options at the FOMC monetary policy meeting in September. Even if the Fed chooses to raise interest rates, it will not obviously cause market volatility. In the long run, the Fed's policy actions will improve some of the risk shocks, but they will not offset all the risks.

Federal Reserve News Agency "Sinsenlat: It is expected that the Fed is ready to raise interest rates to 3%, then fall to zero level when the economy is in a serious recession, and carry out a 2 trillion bond purchase plan. When the economy is in serious recession, asset purchases And forward-looking guidelines should have been able to make up for the Fed's inability to cut interest rates, but not.

Gold yesterday closed at the bottom of the line and left the small shadow line of the small Yinxian line in the 1339 line, closing the 30-day line. After the opening of the Asian session in the Asian session yesterday, it was affected by the silver plunge, and then. After the opening, it quickly went lower, and lost 1340 support position in 1 hour. It continued to test. After the bottom of the day to the 1332 line, under the support of the 4-hour platform lower rail, the short-term stabilized, and the European session continued to consolidate at the low level. Benefiting from the continuous withdrawal of the US dollar, gold was pushed slowly to rise, and then rose to the 1338 line in the evening, unable to continue to attack, pressure on the 1340 line, and then entered the consolidation. Given the current situation, gold still does not get rid of the 4-hour consolidation range. Today, the main idea is to retire low.

The world's largest gold ETF--SPDR GOLD TRUST position increased by 0.25% from the previous day, and the current position is 958.37 tons.

US 10-year benchmark bond yields fell 3.8 basis points to 1.542%. The yield on the 30-year US Treasury fell 4.7 basis points to 2.239%. The yield on US Treasury bonds fell by 0.4 basis points to 0.742%.

The euro bottomed up yesterday and closed the long shadow line cross star at 1.1320 line, showing that the support below is effective. After the euro session fell below 60 lines in the Asian session yesterday, the short-term downline seeks support, and then gains support in the 1.1270 area of ​​the upper platform. After the completion of the bottoming rebound, the bulls began to gain momentum under the support of the 4-hour MA30. They climbed higher in the evening for 1 hour and regained the 1.1300 mark. After the attack to the 1.1320 line in the evening, after the intersection of the 1 hour and 60 lines. Into the consolidation, showing that the euro is still in a strong region, today is mainly based on retracement and low thinking.

German Chancellor Merkel: Ensuring EU perimeter security is a key challenge. The EU must increase coordination in the fight against Islamic terrorists. The EU needs to be ambitious in its competitiveness. The EU Stability Pact provides “a lot of flexibility”. Full support for the Italian Prime Minister Renzi’s "inviting reforms."

French President Hollande: The European economy needs an extra boost. Defence and development are needed for security. Splitting and self-interest are the main risks. Seek cooperation in the fight against terrorism. We need a Europe that provides protection. We need a Europe that can power the regional economy.

Italian Prime Minister Renzi: Europe will not be "completed" after the Brexit. Europe needs stronger economic measures. Youth employment is one of the priorities facing Europe. We believe that the problem lies not in Europe but in solutions. Immigration is one of the most important challenges.

Sterling yesterday closed the Xiaoyang line counterattack and regained the 30-day line at 1.3130. Yesterday, during the Asian session, the pound was suppressed by the US dollar and retraced slightly, but the subsequent one-hour line did not hit a new low. After the midday exploration to the 1.3030 area, under the support of the 1-hour platform lower rail and the MA120, the short-term trend After the stability began to rebound. During the European session, the US dollar was weakened, and the British pound continued to rise. After one hour of attacking the MA60, it established a rebound. After a short break in the European session, the pound regained strength in the evening, and once again rallied around the 1.3130 line, rejecting the deep retracement, indicating that the pound is still in a strong position. Today's continuation of low-level ideas can be.

Countrywide, the UK's largest real estate agent, said that house price growth in London will slow to 3.5% this year, and house prices will fall by 1.25% next year, the first decline in 2009. Among them, the price of gold in prime locations in central London this year will drop by as much as 6%. Economists said that the British vote to leave the European Union disrupted the domestic economy and accelerated the decline of the London property market.

Crude oil plunged 3% to 47.40 area for the whole day, showing that after the four-hour uptrend peaked, the bullish willingness to replenish was strong, triggering a continuous retracement. After the opening of the Asian session yesterday, the crude oil fell below the 49.00 mark, and then opened the whole day of continuous heavy losses, the first hour of the cycle of yin, the long-term loss of 1 hour MA30, the long-term resistance in the disk, showing strong bears, European The short-term acceleration of the time slot broke down the 48.00 mark. The synchronization lost 1 hour MA60. It does establish the downlink open. During the US session, crude oil short-term consolidation in the 47.70 line weakened, showing that the bulls did not dare to easily dip the bottom, and then fell again in the evening, the current 4 hours 7 consecutive Yin. Open the down line and continue the high-altitude idea today.

The market generally believes that US oil oil oil fell about 3% on Monday, as traders and fund managers profited to leave, after crude oil surged more because of technical factors rather than fundamentals, so the follow-up is weak, short covering also boosts this The wave is rising, but it is difficult to continue in the next few weeks. In addition, the current market generally believes that it is difficult for OPEC members to reach an agreement on frozen production or production reduction in September. The expected cooling of the agreement further pushes oil prices down.

[Overnight market review]

European stock market: Germany's DAX index closed down 52.86 points on August 22 (Monday), down 0.50% to 10491.50 points. The UK's FTSE 100 index closed at 31.95 points on August 22 (Monday), down 0.47% to 6827.00 points. The French CAC40 index closed at 9.52 points (Monday) on August 22 (Monday), down 0.22% to 4391.00 points. Spain's IBEX35 index closed at 5.90 points on August 22 (Monday), up 0.07% to 8453.50 points; Italy FTSE The index closed at 56.94 points (Monday) on August 22, up 0.35%, to 16367.00 points.

US stock market: The S&P 500 index closed down 1.23 points (Monday) on August 22 (Monday), down 0.06% to 2182.64 points. The Nasdaq index closed at 6.22 points (Monday) on August 22 (Monday), up 0.12%, to 5244.6 Point; the Dow Jones index closed at 23.15 points (Monday) on August 22, down 0.12% to 18,529.42 points.

Domestic market: Shanghai Gold Exchange Gold T+D closed down 0.11% at 286.54 yuan/g on Monday (August 22); Shanghai Gold Exchange Silver T+D closed at 1.26 on Monday (August 22). % reported 4156.00 yuan / kg.

Futures: coke, coking coal, and thermal coal closed up 1.7%, 1%, and 0.5% respectively; iron ore closed up 1.8%. Soybean, soybean meal and rapeseed increased by 0.1%, 1.3% and 1.3% respectively; palm oil, soybean oil and vegetable oil fell 0.7%, 0.3% and 0.9% respectively.

[Today's attention]

Tuesday, August 23, 2016

14:00 Swiss July trade account

15:00 French August manufacturing PMI initial value

15:30 German initial manufacturing PMI in August

16:00 Eurozone August manufacturing PMI initial value

18:00 UK CBI industrial order difference in August

21:45 US August Markit manufacturing PMI initial value

22:00 US New Home Sales in July Annualized, US August Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

Next day 04:30 US to August 19th week API crude oil inventories

[Today's actual strategy]

[gold]

1
1

Gold was affected by the silver plunge yesterday. After the opening, it quickly fell lower. It lost 1340 support position in one hour and continued to explore. After the bottom of the day to the 1332 line, under the support of the 4-hour platform, the short-term stabilized and verified the platform. The lower rail support was effective, and the US session benefited from the continuous withdrawal of the US dollar. The gold slowly rose in 1 hour, then rose to the 1338 line in the evening, and then entered the consolidation. Given the current situation, gold still does not get rid of the 4-hour consolidation range. The lower rail support of the platform is solid, and the short-term line is still dominated by high and low slag in the interval. Today, the main idea is to retire low.

Today's actual strategy: gold in the 1334 line is much lower, stop loss 1329 area, target 1345 area.

[US dollar index]

2
2

The US dollar index opened yesterday after the Asian market opened for 1 hour MA60, and more vomiting launched a continuous upswing, 1 hour cycle Lianyang, gradually rising to challenge the 95.00 mark, but after the bulls attacked the 94.95 line, the pressure on the 1 hour platform suppression Afterwards, the bulls were not willing to chase after high, and they all replenished and suppressed the weak retracement. After the US dollar traded for 1 hour in the European market, it fell again after the MA30 broke down. It showed that the bulls were weak, and the US dollar accelerated in the first hour and fell to 94.45. Short-term and stable, entered the weak consolidation, the current dollar bulls rebounded weakly, continued to slump, 1 hour MA120 quickly moved down to suppress the rebound, today dominated by high-altitude ideas.

Today's actual strategy: the US dollar is at 94.70, with a stop loss of 94.90 and a target of 94.30.

[EUR/USD]

3
3

After the euro fell below 60 lines in the Asian market during the Asian session yesterday, it triggered a continuous retracement. The short-term downtrend was supported by the 1.1270 area on the upper platform of the upper platform, and then relied on the 4-hour MA30 to complete the bottom rebound. The European session continued to gain momentum. Falling down, providing the opportunity to attack, rising 1 hour in the evening, once again regained the 1.1300 mark, after the attack to the 1.1320 line in the evening, after the intersection of 1 hour and 60 lines, entered the consolidation, indicating that the euro is still in a strong area. At present, the euro is rising for 4 hours, and it is still continuing. Today, it is mainly based on the retracement.

Today's actual strategy: the euro is much lower at 1.1290, with a stop loss of 1.1240 and a target of 1.1355.

[GBP to USD]

Sterling yesterday, the Asian plate was suppressed by the US dollar attack, but the retracement space was small, stabilized under the support of the 1 hour Bollinger Band, and the subsequent 1 hour downline did not hit a new low. After the afternoon, it dropped to the 1.3030 area, at 4 Under the support of the hour MA30, it began to rebound. During the European session, the pound continued to rise, and after an hour of standing on the MA60, the rebound was established. In the evening, the strength of the market rose again to 1.3130, and the deep retracement was rejected, indicating that the pound is still in a strong position. The MA60 provides support for the next hour, and today's low-level ideas can be continued.

Today's actual strategy: the pound is lower at 1.3092, with a stop loss of 1.3040 and a target of 1.3160.

[New York Crude Oil]

Crude oil immediately fell off the 49.00 mark after the opening of the Asian market yesterday. The short line confirmed the formation of the top, and then opened the whole day of continuous heavy setbacks. The first hour of the cycle was yin, first lost 1 hour MA30, the first few in the plate no resistance, showing shorts Strong, short-term acceleration in the European session, down the 48.00 mark down. The synchronization lost 1 hour MA60, and announced that the short-term bulls ended completely. During the US session, short-term crude oil was weakly consolidating at 47.70, and the bulls in the session were unable to rebound. 4 hours of continuous yin, continued to fall, today continue high-altitude ideas. Today's actual strategy: crude oil in the 47.75 first-line high-altitude, stop loss 48.25 area, target 46.50 area.

Sina statement: Sina's posting of this article for the purpose of transmitting more information does not mean agreeing with its views or confirming its description. Article content is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors operate on this basis at their own risk.

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