In this country that has been jokingly called “the most money” in the world, the plot of “crazy people buying crazy and selling mad and waiting for madmen” continues to be staged, from gold, jade and yellow dragons to mahogany, coins, and maotai. ... This time it was a stamp that had already waited for 13 years.

Zodiac votes led the postal market "chicken dog **"

“What is not going up now?! The round also has a stamp.” In the largest postage stamp distribution center in North China, the Beijing Madian Postcard Market, the old postal merchant Mr. Wang told China Economic Weekly. Mr. Zhang, who is talking to him, is an old customer and an old comrade.

“Old buyers like him are now not shooting well, because prices have risen and most of the new buyers are now being sold.” Mr. Wang said, “This increase is actually from the end of 2009 to the beginning of 2010. The year of 2010 has continued to rise, and it is certain that the playing of stamps has begun to pay attention, but by the end of 2010, the market suddenly had an outbreak, and at this time the public began to pay attention, so the bull market should only be just starting. ”

From the end of last year to the beginning of this year, the domestic postal market’s upward trend has suddenly accelerated. While the overall price has been rising rapidly and the discounted tickets are almost impossible to trace, the increase rate of individual species can be called “rocket speed”. According to the reporter, the most eye-catching one is the "Zodiac ticket."

Gengshen Monkey Ticket issued in 1980 has been regarded as the “Poster Weather Indicator”. As the first Lunar New Year stamp issued by China, “Monkey Ticket” has always had a leading effect in the postal market. At the beginning of last year, the price of a "80 version" monkey ticket with an original price of 8 cents was about 5,000 yuan, and it rose to 8,000 yuan in the second half of the year. At the end of the year, it generally exceeded 10,000 yuan, and the price doubled in one year.

On January 5th, a full-length Gengshin monkey ticket was sold at an auction at the Suzhou Jinteng Auction Company for 1.2 million yuan, an average of 15,000 yuan, setting a new record for monkey ticket auctions.

Previously, on May 12th last year, in the China Guardian 2010 spring special philatelic products, two editions of the 80-year-old monkey stamp of the T46 Gengshen Year of the Monkey in 1980 were sold for 999,800 yuan and 918,400 yuan respectively. At this special auction of stamps, there is another British black penny that marked the first stamp in the world - 1840. Its price was only 2,900 yuan.

Although the monkey ticket has repeatedly set astronomical prices, if calculating the annual rate of return and the increase in one year, the monkey ticket is far from winning. The most mad increase was in the 2000 edition of the “Dragon Tickets.” Since it was issued, Longxuan has barely breached its face value and has been selling at a discount. However, it is now a disappointment, with an increase of more than 30 times in one year. The increase is even higher.

In addition, the 1999 version of the "rabbit ticket" rose more than five times, and the "Tiger ticket" issued last year has also doubled.

Every January 5th is the starting date for the national unification of the Lunar New Year stamps, and the scene of the Lunar New Year stamps that have not been seen for many years to buy will be staged again this year. “In the past, the stamps on the zodiac were discounted on the market,” said Mr. Wang.

However, this year's "rabbit ticket" can be described as a "crazy rabbit". The price of a rabbit ticket with a face value of 1.2 yuan rose by 30% to 50% in the two weeks of listing. The large version (20 sheets) and the small version (6 sheets). The increase was even higher, even four or five times.

In addition to the Lunar New Year stamps, the early rise of the boutique sheetlet and the “Old” stamp is also very alarming. For instance, the “Mei Lanfang” mini-leaf, which is popular among collectors, has risen from 560,000 yuan at the beginning of 2010 to the present. The 145,000 yuan was nearly tripled in the year. In addition, the performance of the “bulletinaire” that was previously considered to be relatively small-minded has also been astonishing. It has increased several times or even ten times in one year.

In the depressed postal market, I finally waited for a big bull market for more than 10 years. This made Mr. Wang very excited. However, the current situation of the general market in the postal market still gives him some worries. “In the past, the rising stamps were all soaring, but most of the stamps were mediocre, but this time it was a real dog! Many junk tickets that were worthless in the past are now treasures!” said Mr. Wang.

Thirteen years of skyrocketing plunge

Like Mr. Wang, Feng Ding felt a bit surprised and worried about the current status of the postal market. He now runs a medium-sized stamp sales company that mainly manages some precious commemorative stamps and stamps. Having experienced the last wave of postal market crashes, he sometimes feels unfamiliar.

The crazy market of the last round of the postal market started in 1995 and peaked in the first half of 1997. “At that time, the postal market was like the stock market at 6,000 hours. When you bought it, you made money.” Feng Ding told China Economic Weekly. . However, the sudden financial crisis made the bull market stop abruptly. Most of the breeds fell almost 50% or more overnight, and a large number of postal merchants switched to the market. It can only be set in your hands for years.

The most iconic significance is the Hong Kong Return Gold Foil Stamp issued in July 1997 with a face value of 50 yuan, and soft and hard packaging issued with 100 yuan and 120 yuan respectively, with a total of 20 million pieces. People lining up to compete in the night and being listed will be fired to more than 400 yuan. However, after one or two months, this "gold" ticket was not even sold for 15 yuan.

"The postal market plummeted in 1997. Although the financial crisis was an incentive, a lot of hot money left the market, but the most fundamental reason is that the bubble is getting too big." Feng Ding said.

Afterwards, the postal market entered a long downturn, even to the point where it was almost forgotten. "The number of postal merchants in the postal card market was nearly half that of the peak. Many people have switched, and the traffic volume is only the fraction of the past." Mr. Wang said, "In addition to some old postmen, some people come to buy discounts. For tickets, most stamps are sold at a discount of 30% and 40%. This makes it cheaper to send letters and send packages, so that the post office will not be stamped.

In 2003, there was a wave of Mavericks in the postal market, but it was far away from today’s hotness. This time, spring seems to be really coming.

“The rise of the stamps should be considered reasonable.” Feng Ding said, “Inflation, negative interest, and hot money are numerous, but investment channels are relatively narrow, and many are not standardized. It is normal for funds to enter the postal market. More important The difference is that unlike the stock market and the housing market, stamps have a relatively low threshold, do not require much capital, and are not very technical.

However, unexpectedly, “There are many stamps on the market that do not have too much support for high prices, such as '** votes'. At the time, these stamps were not limited by the number of prints. It should be said that the amount of stamps is very high. It's big, but today it's very expensive." Feng Ding said.

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